DEL (German hockey league) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Grizzly Wolfsburg — Krefeld Pinguine

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Model prediction for 15 October

Grizzly Wolfsburg34%
Draw in regulation22%
Krefeld Pinguine44%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Krefeld Pinguine are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Krefeld Pinguine are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Grizzly Wolfsburg — No. 7, 13 pts; Krefeld Pinguine — No. 8, 12 pts. A gap of 1 pt.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Grizzly Wolfsburg — Krefeld Pinguine2.5–2.8
Grizzly Wolfsburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Grizzly Wolfsburg

  • 11.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3 OT
  • 09.10away · Eisbaren Berlin0:5
  • 04.10Adler Mannheim4:1
  • 02.10away · Augsburger Panther2:5
  • 27.09Bremerhaven3:2

Krefeld Pinguine

  • 11.10Augsburger Panther1:2
  • 08.10away · Frankfurt Lowen5:2
  • 04.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3
  • 02.10ERC Ingolstadt3:1
  • 27.09Schwenninger5:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →