AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · XL Center
Hartford Wolf Pack — Laval Rocket
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:5Came true
In short
Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, Laval Rocket to win (60% incl. overtime), came true.
Laval Rocket are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- Laval Rocket are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.5.
- Hartford Wolf Pack: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hartford Wolf Pack — Laval Rocket | 2.5–3.1 | |
| Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Laval Rocket to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Hartford Wolf Pack
- Hartford Wolf Pack goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:7
- 10.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
- 05.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2
- 04.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2
- 19.04away · Springfield Thunderbirds3:4
- 11.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds5:2
- 03.10Syracuse Crunch6:1
- 03.10Syracuse Crunch0:2
- 09.05Toronto Marlies2:3
- 06.05away · Toronto Marlies4:0
Head to head
- 16.11.2025Hartford Wolf Pack — Laval Rocket2:5
- 08.11.2025Laval Rocket — Hartford Wolf Pack4:2
- 01.02.2025Laval Rocket — Hartford Wolf Pack5:4 OT
- 01.02.2025Laval Rocket — Hartford Wolf Pack3:1
- 25.01.2025Hartford Wolf Pack — Laval Rocket3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 4 | 3 | +12 | 6 | .750 |
| 4 | Laval Rocket | 4 | 3 | +9 | 6 | .750 |
| 5 | Calgary Wranglers | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
Next matches
- Hartford Wolf PackLehigh Valley Phantoms15 October · AHL50502The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.8
- Belleville SenatorsLaval Rocket17 October · AHL40602The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.9
AHL on the same day
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:7Final score 1:7. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
- 50501The most likely outcome came true: 122%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.6
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.4
- 42582The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
- 47532The most likely outcome came true: 221%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →