AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Hartford Wolf Pack — Lehigh Valley Phantoms

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Model prediction for 15 October

Hartford Wolf Pack39%
Draw in regulation21%
Lehigh Valley Phantoms40%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Close to a coin flip: Hartford Wolf Pack 50%, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 50% including overtime.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hartford Wolf Pack — Lehigh Valley Phantoms2.9–2.9
Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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  • Hartford Wolf Pack goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Hartford Wolf Pack

  • 11.10Laval Rocket2:5
  • 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:7
  • 10.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
  • 05.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2
  • 04.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

  • 11.10Cleveland Monsters2:5
  • 11.10Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
  • 04.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
  • 19.04away · Charlotte Checkers1:4
  • 18.04away · Charlotte Checkers2:0

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
  • 01.03.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hartford Wolf Pack6:3
  • 01.03.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hartford Wolf Pack4:5 SO
  • 21.12.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hartford Wolf Pack2:1 SO
  • 23.11.2025Hartford Wolf Pack — Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:3

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
17Springfield Thunderbirds42118–9-15.625
18Hartford Wolf Pack530213–16-36.600
19Tucson Roadrunners420214–12+24.500
30Providence Bruins51049–14-52.200
31Lehigh Valley Phantoms30128–15-71.167
32Chicago Wolves40045–22-170.000

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →