VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
HC Yugra — Dizel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
HC Yugra are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 20%.
Why
- HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: HC Yugra — Dizel | 2.3–1.4 | |
| HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 71% | |
| Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 29% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 20% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 80% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap HC Yugra
- HC Yugra goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 01.10away · Omskie Krylia0:1
- 29.09away · Kurgan3:0
- 27.09away · Rubin Tyumen3:4
- 21.09away · Dyn. Altay0:2
- 13.10away · Kurgan3:4
- 11.10away · Omskie Krylia2:3
- 05.10Dyn. Altay3:1
- 03.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
- 01.10Krasnoyarsk2:0
Head to head
- 09.12.2025HC Yugra — Dizel1:4
- 27.11.2025Dizel — HC Yugra0:2
- 22.01.2025Dizel — HC Yugra6:0
- 01.11.2024HC Yugra — Dizel2:3 SO
- 07.01.2024HC Yugra — Dizel7:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
| 22 | Dizel | 13 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 23 | Dyn. Altay | 12 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
VHL on the same day
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.5
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →