VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Dyn. Altay — Toros Neftekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Dyn. Altay 47%, Toros Neftekamsk 53% including overtime.
4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dyn. Altay — Toros Neftekamsk | 2.2–2.3 | |
| Dyn. Altay to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dyn. Altay
- Dyn. Altay goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Olympia1:4
- 07.10away · Kristall Saratov4:5 SO
- 05.10away · Dizel1:3
- 03.10away · Tambov0:2
- 01.10away · Buran Voronezh2:4
- 13.10away · Krasnoyarsk0:2
- 10.10away · HC Norilsk3:5
- 05.10Kaluga0:1
- 03.10AKM0:3
- 01.10Ryazan3:0
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Toros Neftekamsk — Dyn. Altay3:2
- 03.11.2025Dyn. Altay — Toros Neftekamsk1:4
- 12.01.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Dyn. Altay2:1
- 10.11.2024Dyn. Altay — Toros Neftekamsk3:4 SO
- 03.12.2023Dyn. Altay — Toros Neftekamsk3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 22 | Dizel | 13 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 23 | Dyn. Altay | 12 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 24 | Olympia | 14 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
VHL on the same day
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.5
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:13.7
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →