VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Perm
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Metallurg Novokuznetsk are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Perm | 2.8–1.7 | |
| Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 71% | |
| Perm to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 29% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Metallurg Novokuznetsk
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Izhevsk3:2 SO
- 11.10Olympia2:0
- 05.10away · Kristall Saratov2:0
- 03.10away · Dizel2:0
- 01.10away · Tambov0:3
Head to head
- 21.01.2026Perm — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:1 OT
- 30.10.2025Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Perm5:1
- 10.01.2025Perm — Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:2 SO
- 12.11.2024Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Perm0:2
- 11.12.2023Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Perm2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 8, Playoffs | Kaluga | 13 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 12 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 11, Playoffs | Perm | 12 | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 12, Playoffs | Tambov | 13 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
VHL on the same day
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:13.7
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →