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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 19 October, MSK

HC Yugra — Kristall Saratov

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Model prediction for 19 October

HC Yugra72%
Draw in regulation16%
Kristall Saratov11%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

HC Yugra are clear favourites: 84% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 1.4.

Facts

  • League table: HC Yugra — No. 21, 12 pts; Kristall Saratov — No. 15, 15 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: HC Yugra 5 wins, Kristall Saratov 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: HC Yugra — Kristall Saratov3.3–1.4
HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout)84%
Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout)16%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap HC Yugra
  • HC Yugra goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

HC Yugra

  • 13.10Buran Voronezh0:1
  • 01.10away · Omskie Krylia0:1
  • 29.09away · Kurgan3:0
  • 27.09away · Rubin Tyumen3:4
  • 21.09away · Dyn. Altay0:2

Kristall Saratov

  • 13.10away · Omskie Krylia1:7
  • 07.10Dyn. Altay5:4 SO
  • 05.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 03.10Krasnoyarsk3:2
  • 01.10HC Norilsk2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 07.12.2025HC Yugra — Kristall Saratov1:0
  • 25.11.2025Kristall Saratov — HC Yugra0:2
  • 20.01.2025Kristall Saratov — HC Yugra0:2
  • 30.10.2024HC Yugra — Kristall Saratov5:1
  • 15.01.2024Kristall Saratov — HC Yugra3:5

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
14, PlayoffsBars1471635–44-915
15, PlayoffsKristall Saratov1271431–41-1015
16, PlayoffsMagnitka Magnitogorsk1154224–20+414
20Dinamo St. Petersburg1361637–42-513
21HC Yugra1260620–18+212
22Dizel1352629–31-212

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • Dyn. AltayPerm
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
  • OrskHC Norilsk
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →