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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

IF Bjorkloven — Skelleftea

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Model prediction for 24 October

IF Bjorkloven29%
Draw in regulation21%
Skelleftea50%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Skelleftea are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Skelleftea are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: IF Bjorkloven — Skelleftea2.3–2.9
IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap IF Bjorkloven
  • IF Bjorkloven goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

IF Bjorkloven

  • 10.10Frolunda3:2
  • 08.10away · Brynas1:4
  • 03.10away · Linkoping3:2
  • 01.10Vaxjo4:2
  • 29.09HV 714:2

Skelleftea

  • 10.10Rogle3:2
  • 08.10Farjestad1:5
  • 03.10away · Timra4:1
  • 01.10Malmo4:3 OT
  • 29.09Lulea6:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda8510226–20+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven8510222–20+217
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea8411228–21+715
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBrynas8400423–18+512

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • LinkopingOrebropreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • MalmoTimrapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • BrynasRoglepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
  • FarjestadVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • HV 71Frolundapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • LuleaDjurgardenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →