AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Iowa Wild — Charlotte Checkers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Charlotte Checkers are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Charlotte Checkers are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Iowa Wild — No. 16, 5 pts; Charlotte Checkers — No. 21, 4 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Iowa Wild 0 wins, Charlotte Checkers 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Iowa Wild — Charlotte Checkers | 2.2–3.2 | |
| Iowa Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Iowa Wild
- Iowa Wild goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Rockford IceHogs4:3
- 10.10Rockford IceHogs1:2
- 04.10away · Texas Stars4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Texas Stars3:4 SO
- 19.04Manitoba Moose1:6
- 11.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds2:1 SO
- 11.10away · Providence Bruins2:6
- 04.10away · Hershey Bears2:3
- 04.10away · Hershey Bears5:2
- 26.04Springfield Thunderbirds1:2 OT
Head to head
- 16.11.2025Iowa Wild — Charlotte Checkers0:2
- 15.11.2025Iowa Wild — Charlotte Checkers3:4
- 19.10.2025Charlotte Checkers — Iowa Wild4:1
- 18.10.2025Charlotte Checkers — Iowa Wild6:2
- 29.01.2025Iowa Wild — Charlotte Checkers2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 22 | Belleville Senators | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- Belleville SenatorsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Cleveland MonstersMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Syracuse CrunchHamilton Hammerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.9
- Toronto MarliesHershey Bearspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Utica CometsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Rochester AmericansLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Springfield ThunderbirdsProvidence Bruinspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Rockford IceHogsManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →