AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Iowa Wild — Manitoba Moose
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Iowa Wild 48%, Manitoba Moose 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Iowa Wild — No. 16, 5 pts; Manitoba Moose — No. 3, 6 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Iowa Wild 4 wins, Manitoba Moose 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Iowa Wild — Manitoba Moose | 2.6–2.7 | |
| Iowa Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Iowa Wild
- Iowa Wild goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Rockford IceHogs4:3
- 10.10Rockford IceHogs1:2
- 04.10away · Texas Stars4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Texas Stars3:4 SO
- 19.04Manitoba Moose1:6
- 11.10away · Chicago Wolves6:1
- 10.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:2
- 04.10Chicago Wolves8:3
- 03.10Chicago Wolves3:0
- 09.05away · Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Iowa Wild — Manitoba Moose1:6
- 18.04.2026Iowa Wild — Manitoba Moose3:2 SO
- 22.02.2026Manitoba Moose — Iowa Wild1:5
- 21.02.2026Manitoba Moose — Iowa Wild2:3 OT
- 14.12.2025Manitoba Moose — Iowa Wild0:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Milwaukee Admirals | 2 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 4 | 3 | +12 | 6 | .750 |
| 4 | Laval Rocket | 4 | 3 | +9 | 6 | .750 |
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
AHL on the same day
- Charlotte CheckersSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Grand Rapids GriffinsCleveland Monsterspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Hartford Wolf PackProvidence Bruinspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Laval RocketHamilton Hammerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.2
- Syracuse CrunchRochester Americanspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonBelleville Senatorspreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Milwaukee AdmiralsChicago Wolvespreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Texas StarsOntario Reignpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →