VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
Kaluga — Magnitka Magnitogorsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Kaluga are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 15%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 1.8 and 1.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaluga — Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 1.8–1.6 | |
| Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 15% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 85% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kaluga
- Kaluga goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Orsk1:2 SO
- 07.10away · Perm3:1
- 05.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:0
- 03.10away · Izhevsk3:1
- 01.10away · Olympia3:2 OT
- 12.10away · AKM3:2
- 10.10away · Ryazan3:4 SO
- 02.10Bars4:2
- 30.09Almetyevsk1:2 OT
- 28.09CSK VVS3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 8, Playoffs | Kaluga | 13 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 9, Playoffs | Khimik | 14 | 8 | +18 | 18 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
VHL on the same day
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →