VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg

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Model prediction for 14 October

Bars37%
Draw in regulation22%
Dinamo St. Petersburg40%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Close to a coin flip: Bars 48%, Dinamo St. Petersburg 52% including overtime.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg2.4–2.5
Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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Form

Bars

  • 12.10Zvezda Moscow5:2
  • 10.10Khimik2:1
  • 06.10away · Gornyak3:2
  • 04.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3
  • 02.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:4

Dinamo St. Petersburg

  • 12.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
  • 10.10away · CSK VVS5:3
  • 05.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:3
  • 02.10away · Zvezda Moscow4:2
  • 30.09away · Khimik3:4 OT

Head to head

  • 07.01.2026Dinamo St. Petersburg — Bars4:1
  • 15.11.2025Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg3:4 SO
  • 25.02.2025Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg2:4
  • 19.09.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Bars3:2
  • 03.12.2023Dinamo St. Petersburg — Bars2:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, PlayoffsGornyak1071229–18+1115
14, PlayoffsBars1471635–44-915
15, PlayoffsKristall Saratov1271431–41-1015
19Rubin Tyumen1270529–32-314
20Dinamo St. Petersburg1361637–42-513
21HC Yugra1260620–18+212

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →