Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Bars 48%, Dinamo St. Petersburg 52% including overtime.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg | 2.4–2.5 | |
| Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bars
- Bars goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10Zvezda Moscow5:2
- 10.10Khimik2:1
- 06.10away · Gornyak3:2
- 04.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3
- 02.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:4
- 12.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
- 10.10away · CSK VVS5:3
- 05.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:3
- 02.10away · Zvezda Moscow4:2
- 30.09away · Khimik3:4 OT
Head to head
- 07.01.2026Dinamo St. Petersburg — Bars4:1
- 15.11.2025Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg3:4 SO
- 25.02.2025Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg2:4
- 19.09.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Bars3:2
- 03.12.2023Dinamo St. Petersburg — Bars2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Playoffs | Gornyak | 10 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 14, Playoffs | Bars | 14 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
VHL on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 126%Model's score: 2:13.4
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →