VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
Almetyevsk — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Almetyevsk are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Almetyevsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Almetyevsk — No. 1, 22 pts; SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — No. 11, 16 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Almetyevsk 3 wins, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Almetyevsk — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 2.8–2.0 | |
| Almetyevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| SKA-VMF St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Almetyevsk
- Almetyevsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2
- 10.10Zvezda Moscow3:5
- 08.10Khimik3:2
- 04.10away · Gornyak2:1 SO
- 02.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:4
- 12.10away · CSK VVS5:0
- 05.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:0
- 02.10away · Khimik0:1
- 30.09away · Zvezda Moscow3:1
- 20.09Gornyak3:1
Head to head
- 09.01.2026SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Almetyevsk1:2
- 11.11.2025Almetyevsk — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg5:1
- 03.03.2025Almetyevsk — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg4:3 OT
- 19.09.2024SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Almetyevsk5:4
- 09.12.2023SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Almetyevsk3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Almetyevsk | 15 | 11 | +14 | 22 |
| 2, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 14 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 10, Playoffs | Bars | 15 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 11, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 12 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 12, Playoffs | Perm | 12 | 8 | +7 | 16 |
VHL on the same day
- 50502The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 2:3.5.0
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 126%Model's score: 2:13.4
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →