KHL · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Khabarovsk — Barys Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Khabarovsk 53%, Barys Astana 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Khabarovsk — Barys Astana | 2.4–2.2 | |
| Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Khabarovsk
- Khabarovsk goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 12.10Lada1:0
- 08.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:0
- 06.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 04.10away · Yekaterinburg3:0
- 02.10away · Yekaterinburg0:3
- 12.10Novosibirsk2:3
- 10.10Avangard Omsk5:1
- 04.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 02.10away · Niznekamsk5:4 OT
- 30.09away · Bars Kazan1:4
Head to head
- 12.09.2026Barys Astana — Khabarovsk1:3
- 10.03.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana0:3
- 02.02.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana4:2
- 31.01.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana2:1 SO
- 27.12.2025Barys Astana — Khabarovsk1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 15 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 14 | 8 | +14 | 16 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
KHL on the same day
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →