Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Wednesday, 21 October, 18:30 MSK

Kiekko-Espoo — KooKoo

Model prediction for 21 October

Kiekko-Espoo44%

Draw in regulation21%

KooKoo34%

Model estimate at 23:15 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kiekko-Espoo are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

Kiekko-Espoo are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kiekko-Espoo — KooKoo		2.9–2.6
Kiekko-Espoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)		56%
KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)		44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Kiekko-Espoo
Kiekko-Espoo goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Kiekko-Espoo

09.10JYP6:1
07.10away · Karpat7:8 OT
03.10away · Ilves4:6
02.10Karpat1:3
30.09TPS Turku4:2

KooKoo

10.10away · Hameenlinna3:5
09.10Jukurit4:1
03.10Pelicans3:6
30.09away · Tappara0:3
26.09Jukurit3:5

Head to head

09.09.2026Kiekko-Espoo — KooKoo6:2
24.01.2026KooKoo — Kiekko-Espoo5:1
16.01.2026Kiekko-Espoo — KooKoo4:2
05.12.2025KooKoo — Kiekko-Espoo3:0
15.11.2025Kiekko-Espoo — KooKoo2:3 OT

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	JYP	10	7	0	0	3	30–25	+5	21
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Kiekko-Espoo	13	5	1	3	4	42–32	+10	20
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	SaiPa	11	5	2	1	3	30–20	+10	20
16, Relegation play-off	Jokerit	13	2	1	2	8	25–42	-17	10
17, Relegation	KooKoo	12	1	0	1	10	25–52	-27	4

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

18:30
TapparaAssatpreliminary
6733
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →