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Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Kiekko-Espoo — KooKoo

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Model prediction for 21 October

Kiekko-Espoo44%
Draw in regulation21%
KooKoo34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kiekko-Espoo are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Kiekko-Espoo are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Kiekko-Espoo — No. 6, 20 pts; KooKoo — No. 17, 4 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Kiekko-Espoo 2 wins, KooKoo 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kiekko-Espoo — KooKoo2.9–2.6
Kiekko-Espoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kiekko-Espoo
  • Kiekko-Espoo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kiekko-Espoo

  • 09.10JYP6:1
  • 07.10away · Karpat7:8 OT
  • 03.10away · Ilves4:6
  • 02.10Karpat1:3
  • 30.09TPS Turku4:2

KooKoo

  • 10.10away · Hameenlinna3:5
  • 09.10Jukurit4:1
  • 03.10Pelicans3:6
  • 30.09away · Tappara0:3
  • 26.09Jukurit3:5

Head to head

  • 09.09.2026Kiekko-Espoo — KooKoo6:2
  • 24.01.2026KooKoo — Kiekko-Espoo5:1
  • 16.01.2026Kiekko-Espoo — KooKoo4:2
  • 05.12.2025KooKoo — Kiekko-Espoo3:0
  • 15.11.2025Kiekko-Espoo — KooKoo2:3 OT

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsJYP10700330–25+521
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKiekko-Espoo13513442–32+1020
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaiPa11521330–20+1020
16, Relegation play-offJokerit13212825–42-1710
17, RelegationKooKoo121011025–52-274

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • TapparaAssatpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →