Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Kiekko-Espoo — TPS Turku
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kiekko-Espoo are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Kiekko-Espoo are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kiekko-Espoo — TPS Turku | 2.7–2.2 | |
| Kiekko-Espoo to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| TPS Turku to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kiekko-Espoo
- Kiekko-Espoo goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Tappara3:4 SO
- 03.10JYP4:1
- 30.09away · Kiekko-Espoo2:4
- 27.09away · Ilves2:3
- 25.09away · Jokerit2:1
Head to head
- 30.09.2026Kiekko-Espoo — TPS Turku4:2
- 27.12.2025Kiekko-Espoo — TPS Turku8:1
- 26.12.2025TPS Turku — Kiekko-Espoo0:1
- 03.12.2025TPS Turku — Kiekko-Espoo5:0
- 12.11.2025Kiekko-Espoo — TPS Turku2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | JYP | 10 | 7 | +5 | 21 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 5 | +10 | 20 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | SaiPa | 11 | 5 | +10 | 20 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | -7 | 18 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | TPS Turku | 11 | 5 | +4 | 16 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Pelicans | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
Liiga on the same day
- IFK HelsinkiIlvespreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- JukuritLukkopreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- JYPTapparapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- KarpatHameenlinnapreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- KooKooAssatpreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
- PelicansSaiPapreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →