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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Krasnoyarsk — Khimik

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Model prediction for 2 November

Krasnoyarsk22%
Draw in regulation21%
Khimik57%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Khimik are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • Khimik are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

  • League table: Krasnoyarsk — No. 29, 8 pts; Khimik — No. 9, 18 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Krasnoyarsk 2 wins, Khimik 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Krasnoyarsk — Khimik1.9–2.8
Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)30%
Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout)70%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Krasnoyarsk
  • Krasnoyarsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Krasnoyarsk

  • 13.10Toros Neftekamsk2:0
  • 11.10Izhevsk3:2
  • 09.10Olympia3:4
  • 03.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
  • 01.10away · Dizel0:2

Khimik

  • 10.10away · Bars1:2
  • 08.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
  • 06.10away · CSK VVS8:2
  • 02.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:0
  • 30.09Dinamo St. Petersburg4:3 OT

Head to head

  • 11.02.2026Khimik — Krasnoyarsk2:3
  • 07.10.2025Krasnoyarsk — Khimik3:2 OT
  • 24.01.2025Krasnoyarsk — Khimik3:4
  • 27.10.2024Khimik — Krasnoyarsk2:1
  • 10.01.2024Khimik — Krasnoyarsk4:3 SO

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, PlayoffsKaluga1383229–19+1019
9, PlayoffsKhimik1482446–28+1818
10, PlayoffsBars1581639–46-717
28Izhevsk1332829–40-118
29Krasnoyarsk14401023–36-138
30Chelmet Chelyabinsk1132620–44-248

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • Omskie KryliaMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
  • AKMBarspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →