Omskie Krylia — Magnitka Magnitogorsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Omskie Krylia 52%, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Omskie Krylia — No. 3, 20 pts; Magnitka Magnitogorsk — No. 16, 14 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Omskie Krylia: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Omskie Krylia 2 wins, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Omskie Krylia — Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 2.2–2.1 | |
| Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Omskie Krylia
- Omskie Krylia goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10Kristall Saratov7:1
- 11.10Dizel3:2
- 09.10Tambov5:1
- 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3
- 12.10away · AKM3:2
- 10.10away · Ryazan3:4 SO
- 02.10Bars4:2
- 30.09Almetyevsk1:2 OT
- 28.09CSK VVS3:0
Head to head
- 16.01.2026Omskie Krylia — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:7
- 09.11.2025Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Omskie Krylia1:2 OT
- 05.02.2025Omskie Krylia — Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:1
- 15.10.2024Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Omskie Krylia3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 14 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
VHL on the same day
- KrasnoyarskKhimikpreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.7
- AKMBarspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →