VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Omskie Krylia — Magnitka Magnitogorsk

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Model prediction for 2 November

Omskie Krylia40%
Draw in regulation24%
Magnitka Magnitogorsk36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Omskie Krylia 52%, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 48% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Omskie Krylia — No. 3, 20 pts; Magnitka Magnitogorsk — No. 16, 14 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Omskie Krylia: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Omskie Krylia 2 wins, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Omskie Krylia — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2.2–2.1
Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)31%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)69%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Omskie Krylia
  • Omskie Krylia goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Omskie Krylia

  • 13.10Kristall Saratov7:1
  • 11.10Dizel3:2
  • 09.10Tambov5:1
  • 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
  • 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3

Magnitka Magnitogorsk

  • 12.10away · AKM3:2
  • 10.10away · Ryazan3:4 SO
  • 02.10Bars4:2
  • 30.09Almetyevsk1:2 OT
  • 28.09CSK VVS3:0

Head to head

  • 16.01.2026Omskie Krylia — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:7
  • 09.11.2025Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Omskie Krylia1:2 OT
  • 05.02.2025Omskie Krylia — Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:1
  • 15.10.2024Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Omskie Krylia3:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
3, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia13100337–19+1820
4, PlayoffsHC Norilsk1592435–33+220
15, PlayoffsKristall Saratov1271431–41-1015
16, PlayoffsMagnitka Magnitogorsk1154224–20+414
17Toros Neftekamsk1362530–31-114

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • AKMBarspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →