Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Thursday, 29 October, 17:00 MSK

Kulager — Beibarys Atyrau

Model prediction for 29 October

Kulager59%

Draw in regulation20%

Beibarys Atyrau22%

Model estimate at 21:19 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kulager are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

Kulager are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

League table: Kulager — No. 6, 22 pts; Beibarys Atyrau — No. 9, 8 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Kulager 5 wins, Beibarys Atyrau 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kulager — Beibarys Atyrau		3.1–2.0
Kulager to win (incl. OT and shootout)		71%
Beibarys Atyrau to win (incl. OT and shootout)		29%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Kulager
Kulager goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Kulager

11.10Karaganda2:1 SO
10.10Karaganda1:3
07.10Kokshetau3:4
06.10Kokshetau3:4
02.10away · Nomad Astana4:5 SO

Beibarys Atyrau

13.10away · Aktobe1:2
12.10away · Aktobe1:2
07.10Almaty5:3
06.10Almaty1:4
02.10Torpedo2:9

Head to head

06.09.2026Kulager — Beibarys Atyrau2:1 SO
05.09.2026Kulager — Beibarys Atyrau4:3
03.02.2026Beibarys Atyrau — Kulager0:2
02.02.2026Beibarys Atyrau — Kulager3:4 OT
20.12.2025Beibarys Atyrau — Kulager0:7

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
5, Playoffs	Gornyak Rudny	18	12	1	5	71–44	+27	25
6, Playoffs	Kulager	18	9	4	5	64–52	+12	22
7, Playoffs	Almaty	18	9	0	9	49–57	-8	18
8, Playoffs	Aktobe	18	4	1	13	45–83	-38	9
9	Beibarys Atyrau	18	3	2	13	38–59	-21	8
10	Pavlodar	18	0	1	17	19–140	-121	1

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

16:30
TorpedoNomad Astanapreliminary
6436
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
17:00
Gornyak RudnyKokshetaupreliminary
4951
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
17:00
KaragandaAlmatypreliminary
8515
1The model's most likely outcome: 114%Model's score: 4:15.8
17:00
PavlodarAktobepreliminary
1288
2The model's most likely outcome: 211%Model's score: 2:57.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →