Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Lausanne — EHC Kloten
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Lausanne are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- Lausanne are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lausanne — EHC Kloten | 3.0–1.9 | |
| Lausanne to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 71% | |
| EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 29% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lausanne
- Lausanne goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Rapperswil-Jona4:1
- 07.10Lugano2:5
- 03.10away · Zurich2:3 OT
- 02.10Biel7:4
- 30.09Servette6:5 SO
- 11.10Zug1:3
- 09.10away · Davos4:1
- 03.10away · Langnau Tigers2:6
- 02.10Fribourg1:4
- 29.09away · Servette0:4
Head to head
- 16.01.2026EHC Kloten — Lausanne2:3 OT
- 01.11.2025EHC Kloten — Lausanne2:1
- 01.10.2025Lausanne — EHC Kloten2:1
- 20.09.2025Lausanne — EHC Kloten3:5
- 14.02.2025EHC Kloten — Lausanne1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Lugano | 10 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 11 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ambri-Piotta | 10 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Biel | 10 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | EHC Kloten | 11 | 2 | -17 | 9 |
National League on the same day
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →