AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Syracuse Crunch

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Model prediction for 25 October

Lehigh Valley Phantoms31%
Draw in regulation21%
Syracuse Crunch48%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Syracuse Crunch are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Syracuse Crunch are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Syracuse Crunch2.5–3.0
Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Syracuse Crunch to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

  • 11.10Cleveland Monsters2:5
  • 11.10Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
  • 04.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
  • 19.04away · Charlotte Checkers1:4
  • 18.04away · Charlotte Checkers2:0

Syracuse Crunch

  • 11.10Belleville Senators2:3
  • 10.10away · Rochester Americans1:7
  • 03.10away · Laval Rocket1:6
  • 03.10away · Laval Rocket2:0
  • 03.05Cleveland Monsters1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 14.03.2026Syracuse Crunch — Lehigh Valley Phantoms1:4
  • 15.02.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Syracuse Crunch1:3
  • 18.01.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Syracuse Crunch1:4
  • 13.12.2025Syracuse Crunch — Lehigh Valley Phantoms3:1
  • 12.04.2025Syracuse Crunch — Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:1

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
28San Jose Barracuda410311–20-92.250
29Syracuse Crunch41036–16-102.250
30Providence Bruins51049–14-52.200
31Lehigh Valley Phantoms30128–15-71.167
32Chicago Wolves40045–22-170.000

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →