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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Lida — Mogilev

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Model prediction and result

5:1Came true
Lida68%
Draw in regulation16%
Mogilev16%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 5:1: the model's most likely outcome, Lida to win (79% incl. overtime), came true.

Lida are clear favourites: 79% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.

Why

  • Lida are more dangerous in attack: 3.8 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lida — Mogilev3.8–2.1
Lida to win (incl. OT and shootout)79%
Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout)21%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)59%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)41%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Lida
  • Lida goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Lida

  • 04.10Mogilev6:0
  • 29.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha4:5 SO
  • 27.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha5:4
  • 24.09Novopolotsk4:0
  • 22.09Novopolotsk5:1

Mogilev

  • 04.10away · Lida0:6
  • 30.09Vitebsk0:2
  • 28.09Vitebsk4:3
  • 23.09away · Soligorsk1:4
  • 21.09away · Soligorsk0:3

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Lida — Mogilev6:0
  • 30.11.2025Mogilev — Lida2:5
  • 28.11.2025Mogilev — Lida3:2
  • 13.09.2025Lida — Mogilev4:3
  • 11.09.2025Lida — Mogilev5:2

Next matches

  • MogilevGomel9 October · Belarus Extraleague
    2The most likely outcome came true: 220%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
  • SlavutychLida10 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The most likely outcome came true: 119%Final score 3:0. Model's score: 4:2.5.9

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • Neman GrodnoNovopolotsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 4:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.5
  • MolodechnoBrest
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →