Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Slavutych — Lida

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Model prediction and result

3:0Came true
Slavutych59%
Draw in regulation19%
Lida22%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Slavutych to win (71% incl. overtime), came true.

Slavutych are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Slavutych are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Slavutych — Lida3.5–2.3
Slavutych to win (incl. OT and shootout)71%
Lida to win (incl. OT and shootout)29%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Slavutych
  • Slavutych goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Slavutych

  • 05.10Vitebsk4:3
  • 03.10Vitebsk6:3
  • 30.09Soligorsk5:1
  • 28.09Soligorsk4:3 SO
  • 23.09away · Yunost Minsk4:1

Lida

  • 06.10Mogilev5:1
  • 04.10Mogilev6:0
  • 29.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha4:5 SO
  • 27.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha5:4
  • 24.09Novopolotsk4:0

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Lida — Slavutych1:3
  • 19.03.2026Slavutych — Lida1:0
  • 17.03.2026Slavutych — Lida2:1 OT
  • 15.03.2026Lida — Slavutych3:2 OT
  • 13.03.2026Lida — Slavutych2:4

Next match

  • SlavutychLida12 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.6

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 4:6. Model's score: 1:3.4.8
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →