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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Neman Grodno — Novopolotsk

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Model prediction and result

4:1Came true
Neman Grodno53%
Draw in regulation22%
Novopolotsk25%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, Neman Grodno to win (66% incl. overtime), came true.

Neman Grodno are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.

Why

  • Neman Grodno are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Neman Grodno — Novopolotsk2.7–1.9
Neman Grodno to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)34%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)66%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Neman Grodno
  • Neman Grodno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Neman Grodno

  • 04.10Novopolotsk4:1
  • 29.09away · Brest2:4
  • 27.09away · Brest1:3
  • 24.09Molodechno0:1
  • 22.09Molodechno0:1

Novopolotsk

  • 04.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 29.09Gomel3:1
  • 27.09Gomel0:5
  • 24.09away · Lida0:4
  • 22.09away · Lida1:5

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Neman Grodno — Novopolotsk4:1
  • 17.01.2026Neman Grodno — Novopolotsk4:0
  • 15.01.2026Neman Grodno — Novopolotsk6:1
  • 13.10.2025Novopolotsk — Neman Grodno3:7
  • 11.10.2025Novopolotsk — Neman Grodno4:3

Next matches

  • NovopolotskMolodechno9 October · Belarus Extraleague
    2The most likely outcome came true: 221%Final score 1:6. Model's score: 1:3.4.4
  • Lokomotiv OrshaNeman Grodno9 October · Belarus Extraleague
    2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 1:3.4.8

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • LidaMogilev
    1The most likely outcome came true: 116%Final score 5:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
  • MolodechnoBrest
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →