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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Linkoping — Orebro

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 24 October

Linkoping40%
Draw in regulation23%
Orebro37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Linkoping 51%, Orebro 49% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Linkoping — Orebro2.4–2.4
Linkoping to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Orebro to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)61%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Linkoping
  • Linkoping goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Linkoping

  • 10.10away · Djurgarden1:5
  • 08.10away · Vaxjo3:0
  • 03.10IF Bjorkloven2:3
  • 01.10Lulea0:2
  • 26.09away · Rogle1:2 OT

Orebro

  • 10.10Vaxjo4:2
  • 08.10away · Djurgarden1:2
  • 03.10Lulea1:4
  • 01.10away · HV 711:2 OT
  • 26.09Skelleftea3:0

Head to head

  • 14.03.2026Linkoping — Orebro3:2 OT
  • 30.12.2025Linkoping — Orebro4:3
  • 30.10.2025Orebro — Linkoping7:2
  • 16.10.2025Orebro — Linkoping4:3 SO
  • 20.02.2025Orebro — Linkoping2:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle8310420–18+211
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsOrebro8302318–22-411
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMalmo7212218–22-410
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77
14, Relegation play-offLinkoping7201412–23-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • IF BjorklovenSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
  • MalmoTimrapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • BrynasRoglepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
  • FarjestadVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • HV 71Frolundapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • LuleaDjurgardenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →