KHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Dynamo Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 23%.
Why
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 1.6.
Facts
- League table: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — No. 3, 22 pts; Dynamo Moscow — No. 16, 14 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 3 wins, Dynamo Moscow 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Dynamo Moscow | 2.2–1.6 | |
| Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 23% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 77% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Dinamo Minsk6:1
- 05.10away · Bars Kazan2:0
- 03.10away · Dinamo Minsk3:4
- 30.09Novosibirsk3:1
- 27.09away · Novosibirsk2:1
- 11.10SKA St. Petersburg4:3 OT
- 09.10CSKA Moscow2:5
- 07.10Shanghai2:3
- 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
- 01.10Nizhny Novgorod1:3
Head to head
- 24.02.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Dynamo Moscow3:1
- 25.12.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Dynamo Moscow0:2
- 26.11.2025Dynamo Moscow — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:0
- 20.10.2025Dynamo Moscow — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:3
- 21.03.2025Dynamo Moscow — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- Tractor ChelyabinskBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- YekaterinburgCSKA Moscowpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- LadaShanghaipreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Spartak MoscowCherepovetspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →