NHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Los Angeles Kings — Ottawa Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Los Angeles Kings 47%, Ottawa Senators 53% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Los Angeles Kings — No. 31, 2 pts; Ottawa Senators — No. 8, 10 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Los Angeles Kings: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles Kings 4 wins, Ottawa Senators 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Los Angeles Kings — Ottawa Senators | 2.5–2.6 | |
| Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Los Angeles Kings
- Los Angeles Kings goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Edmonton Oilers1:4
- 11.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:2 OT
- 07.10Florida Panthers1:2
- 04.10away · San Jose Sharks4:5 OT
- 01.10away · Colorado Avalanche4:8
- 14.10St. Louis Blues2:7
- 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
- 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
- 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
Head to head
- 25.11.2025Los Angeles Kings — Ottawa Senators2:1
- 16.11.2025Ottawa Senators — Los Angeles Kings0:1
- 01.12.2024Los Angeles Kings — Ottawa Senators5:2
- 14.10.2024Ottawa Senators — Los Angeles Kings8:7 OT
- 08.03.2024Los Angeles Kings — Ottawa Senators4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Carolina HurricanesColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Pittsburgh PenguinsUtah Mammothpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:56.0
- Tampa Bay LightningWinnipeg Jetspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Detroit Red WingsChicago Blackhawkspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Dallas StarsMontreal Canadienspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Minnesota WildNew York Islanderspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Nashville PredatorsWashington Capitalspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- St. Louis BluesBoston Bruinspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →