SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Lulea — HV 71
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Lulea are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Lulea are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lulea — HV 71 | 2.9–2.2 | |
| Lulea to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| HV 71 to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lulea
- Lulea goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Timra2:3 OT
- 08.10Malmo2:3
- 03.10away · Orebro4:1
- 01.10away · Linkoping2:0
- 29.09away · Skelleftea1:6
- 10.10Brynas3:2
- 08.10away · Rogle3:4
- 03.10away · Farjestad1:3
- 01.10Orebro2:1 OT
- 29.09away · IF Bjorkloven2:4
Head to head
- 31.01.2026HV 71 — Lulea2:1
- 06.01.2026Lulea — HV 715:6 OT
- 22.11.2025HV 71 — Lulea1:2
- 09.10.2025Lulea — HV 713:2 SO
- 27.02.2025Lulea — HV 714:2
Table
SHL on the same day
- 50501The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:44.9
- 68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →