SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Linkoping — Farjestad

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Model prediction for 17 October

Linkoping27%
Draw in regulation21%
Farjestad51%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Farjestad are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • Farjestad are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Linkoping — Farjestad2.1–2.8
Linkoping to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Farjestad to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Linkoping
  • Linkoping goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Linkoping

  • 10.10away · Djurgarden1:5
  • 08.10away · Vaxjo3:0
  • 03.10IF Bjorkloven2:3
  • 01.10Lulea0:2
  • 26.09away · Rogle1:2 OT

Farjestad

  • 10.10Malmo6:2
  • 08.10away · Skelleftea5:1
  • 03.10HV 713:1
  • 01.10away · Djurgarden4:0
  • 26.09away · IF Bjorkloven5:0

Head to head

  • 19.02.2026Linkoping — Farjestad2:4
  • 26.12.2025Farjestad — Linkoping3:2 SO
  • 15.11.2025Farjestad — Linkoping0:1
  • 30.09.2025Linkoping — Farjestad0:2
  • 27.02.2025Farjestad — Linkoping1:2 OT

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFarjestad8701034–8+2622
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda8510226–20+617
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77
14, Relegation play-offLinkoping7201412–23-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →