KHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Magnitogorsk — Yekaterinburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Magnitogorsk are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Magnitogorsk — No. 1, 25 pts; Yekaterinburg — No. 15, 14 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Magnitogorsk: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Magnitogorsk 3 wins, Yekaterinburg 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Magnitogorsk 6, Yekaterinburg 12.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magnitogorsk — Yekaterinburg | 2.7–2.1 | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Magnitogorsk
- Magnitogorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2 OT
- 09.10Salavat Ufa7:1
- 07.10Vladivostok3:0
- 05.10Vladivostok2:5
- 02.10away · Spartak Moscow2:0
- 06.10Avangard Omsk4:0
- 04.10Khabarovsk0:3
- 02.10Khabarovsk3:0
- 30.09Lada3:1
- 26.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Magnitogorsk — Yekaterinburg4:3
- 06.03.2026Magnitogorsk — Yekaterinburg1:3
- 15.02.2026Yekaterinburg — Magnitogorsk8:1
- 10.02.2026Magnitogorsk — Yekaterinburg4:1
- 03.12.2025Yekaterinburg — Magnitogorsk5:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
- 32682The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.7
- 61391The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →