NHL · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild — Vegas Golden Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:2Missed
In short
Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, Vegas Golden Knights to win (52% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 52% fails in about 48 matches out of 100 on average.
Close to a coin flip: Minnesota Wild 48%, Vegas Golden Knights 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.
Facts
- Vegas Golden Knights: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Minnesota Wild 3 wins, Vegas Golden Knights 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Minnesota Wild — Vegas Golden Knights | 2.6–2.7 | |
| Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Minnesota Wild
- Minnesota Wild goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
- 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
- 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT
- 04.10Boston Bruins4:1
- 02.10away · Nashville Predators3:1
- 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
- 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
- 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2
- 05.10away · Vancouver Canucks3:2
- 03.10Anaheim Ducks3:4
Head to head
- 07.03.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Minnesota Wild2:4
- 30.12.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Minnesota Wild2:5
- 17.11.2025Minnesota Wild — Vegas Golden Knights3:2 OT
- 02.05.2025Minnesota Wild — Vegas Golden Knights2:3
- 30.04.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Minnesota Wild3:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
Next matches
- Winnipeg JetsMinnesota Wild14 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 5:2, exactly right.6.0
- Nashville PredatorsVegas Golden Knights14 October · NHL51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 41592The most likely outcome came true: 223%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:4, exactly right.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →