NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets — Minnesota Wild
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
5:2Came true
In short
Final score 5:2: the model's most likely outcome, Winnipeg Jets to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.
Winnipeg Jets are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.
Why
- Winnipeg Jets are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.8.
- Minnesota Wild: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Winnipeg Jets 3 wins, Minnesota Wild 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Minnesota Wild | 3.1–2.8 | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 61% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Anaheim Ducks1:5
- 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
- 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2
- 03.10Boston Bruins3:4 OT
- 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
- 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
- 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
- 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT
- 04.10Boston Bruins4:1
Head to head
- 16.01.2026Minnesota Wild — Winnipeg Jets2:6
- 28.12.2025Winnipeg Jets — Minnesota Wild3:4 OT
- 24.11.2025Winnipeg Jets — Minnesota Wild0:3
- 29.10.2025Minnesota Wild — Winnipeg Jets3:4 OT
- 22.12.2024Winnipeg Jets — Minnesota Wild5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
Next matches
- Chicago BlackhawksWinnipeg Jets16 October · NHL40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Minnesota WildSt. Louis Blues16 October · NHL55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
NHL on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 56441The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.0
- 46542The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:7Final score 2:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →