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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Mlada Boleslav — Ceske Budejovice

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Model prediction for 25 October

Mlada Boleslav37%
Draw in regulation23%
Ceske Budejovice41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Mlada Boleslav 47%, Ceske Budejovice 53% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Mlada Boleslav — No. 12, 9 pts; Ceske Budejovice — No. 6, 16 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Mlada Boleslav 2 wins, Ceske Budejovice 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mlada Boleslav — Ceske Budejovice2.3–2.4
Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Ceske Budejovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Mlada Boleslav
  • Mlada Boleslav goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Mlada Boleslav

  • 11.10Litvinov2:1
  • 09.10away · Kladno3:4
  • 04.10Liberec3:5
  • 02.10away · Kometa Brno2:3 SO
  • 29.09Plzen1:4

Ceske Budejovice

  • 11.10Liberec4:3
  • 08.10away · Plzen1:4
  • 05.10Kometa Brno5:1
  • 01.10away · Sparta Prague2:4
  • 29.09away · Pardubice2:5

Head to head

  • 16.09.2026Ceske Budejovice — Mlada Boleslav2:3 OT
  • 01.03.2026Ceske Budejovice — Mlada Boleslav3:0
  • 02.01.2026Mlada Boleslav — Ceske Budejovice4:2
  • 21.11.2025Ceske Budejovice — Mlada Boleslav4:3 SO
  • 03.10.2025Mlada Boleslav — Ceske Budejovice3:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK10420428–26+216
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice10501427–31-416
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKladno10322329–32-315
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno9221425–28-311
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139
13Vitkovice9201621–32-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • TrinecKarlovy Varypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • KladnoVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
  • LiberecPlzenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.3
  • Mountfield HKPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
  • LitvinovKometa Brnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →