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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Molodechno — Brest

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Model prediction and result

2:3Missed
Molodechno51%
Draw in regulation22%
Brest26%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Molodechno to win (64% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 64% fails in about 36 matches out of 100 on average.

Molodechno are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • Molodechno are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Molodechno — Brest2.6–1.9
Molodechno to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Brest to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Molodechno
  • Molodechno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Molodechno

  • 04.10Brest1:2 OT
  • 29.09Zhlobin3:0
  • 27.09Zhlobin1:4
  • 24.09away · Neman Grodno1:0
  • 22.09away · Neman Grodno1:0

Brest

  • 04.10away · Molodechno2:1 OT
  • 29.09Neman Grodno4:2
  • 27.09Neman Grodno3:1
  • 24.09Gomel2:1
  • 22.09Gomel4:7

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Molodechno — Brest1:2 OT
  • 24.12.2025Molodechno — Brest2:1
  • 22.12.2025Molodechno — Brest6:1
  • 19.09.2025Brest — Molodechno2:4
  • 17.09.2025Brest — Molodechno1:2

Next matches

  • NovopolotskMolodechno9 October · Belarus Extraleague
    2The most likely outcome came true: 221%Final score 1:6. Model's score: 1:3.4.4
  • BrestZhlobin10 October · Belarus Extraleague
    2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.0

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • LidaMogilev
    1The most likely outcome came true: 116%Final score 5:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
  • Neman GrodnoNovopolotsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 4:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →