Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK
Brest — Zhlobin
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:4Came true
In short
Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Zhlobin to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.
Zhlobin are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brest — Zhlobin | 2.4–2.6 | |
| Brest to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Zhlobin to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Brest
- Brest goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 06.10away · Molodechno3:2
- 04.10away · Molodechno2:1 OT
- 29.09Neman Grodno4:2
- 27.09Neman Grodno3:1
- 24.09Gomel2:1
- 04.10away · Yunost Minsk4:1
- 03.10away · Yunost Minsk4:1
- 29.09away · Molodechno0:3
- 27.09away · Molodechno4:1
- 23.09away · Baranavichy1:2
Head to head
- 01.12.2025Brest — Zhlobin2:1 OT
- 29.11.2025Brest — Zhlobin1:4
- 14.09.2025Zhlobin — Brest2:1
- 12.09.2025Zhlobin — Brest1:2
- 01.12.2024Brest — Zhlobin0:1
Next match
- BrestZhlobin12 October · Belarus Extraleague41592The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:3, exactly right.5.3
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 35652The most likely outcome came true: 222%4:6Final score 4:6. Model's score: 1:3.4.8
- 71291The most likely outcome came true: 119%3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 4:2.5.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →