NHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Nashville Predators — Washington Capitals

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Model prediction for 30 October

Nashville Predators41%
Draw in regulation23%
Washington Capitals36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Nashville Predators 52%, Washington Capitals 48% including overtime.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nashville Predators — Washington Capitals2.9–2.8
Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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Form

Nashville Predators

  • 11.10away · Ottawa Senators2:3 SO
  • 09.10away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
  • 07.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5 OT
  • 04.10Dallas Stars2:1
  • 02.10Minnesota Wild1:3

Washington Capitals

  • 12.10Seattle Kraken3:5
  • 10.10New York Rangers3:1
  • 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
  • 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3
  • 03.10away · Carolina Hurricanes5:2

Head to head

  • 06.02.2026Washington Capitals — Nashville Predators4:2
  • 12.01.2026Nashville Predators — Washington Capitals3:2
  • 12.01.2025Nashville Predators — Washington Capitals1:4
  • 07.11.2024Washington Capitals — Nashville Predators3:2
  • 31.12.2023Washington Capitals — Nashville Predators2:3 SO

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche530226–17+96
16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceWashington Capitals530217–14+36
17Nashville Predators522114–1406
18San Jose Sharks530213–17-46

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →