NHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Anaheim Ducks — Buffalo Sabres

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Model prediction for 30 October

Anaheim Ducks35%
Draw in regulation23%
Buffalo Sabres42%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Buffalo Sabres are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 3.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Anaheim Ducks — Buffalo Sabres2.9–3.1
Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)62%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)38%

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Form

Anaheim Ducks

  • 14.10Calgary Flames2:4
  • 11.10away · Calgary Flames4:2
  • 10.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
  • 08.10Edmonton Oilers2:5
  • 05.10Florida Panthers3:2 OT

Buffalo Sabres

  • 14.10away · Montreal Canadiens3:4 SO
  • 12.10Florida Panthers5:3
  • 11.10Utah Mammoth1:4
  • 09.10Dallas Stars0:4
  • 07.10Minnesota Wild3:2 OT

Head to head

  • 23.03.2026Anaheim Ducks — Buffalo Sabres6:5 OT
  • 11.01.2026Buffalo Sabres — Anaheim Ducks5:3
  • 26.02.2025Buffalo Sabres — Anaheim Ducks3:2
  • 23.11.2024Anaheim Ducks — Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT
  • 19.02.2024Buffalo Sabres — Anaheim Ducks3:4

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceAnaheim Ducks640220–17+38
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning640217–16+18
18Montreal Canadiens631219–22-37
19Buffalo Sabres731319–26-77
20New York Islanders630319–15+46

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →