KHL · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Niznekamsk — Magnitogorsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitogorsk are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Niznekamsk — No. 6, 18 pts; Magnitogorsk — No. 1, 25 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Magnitogorsk: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Niznekamsk 2 wins, Magnitogorsk 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Niznekamsk — Magnitogorsk | 2.3–3.0 | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Niznekamsk
- Niznekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Salavat Ufa3:4
- 08.10Avangard Omsk0:1
- 04.10Novosibirsk3:2
- 02.10Barys Astana4:5 OT
- 29.09away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 12.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2 OT
- 09.10Salavat Ufa7:1
- 07.10Vladivostok3:0
- 05.10Vladivostok2:5
- 02.10away · Spartak Moscow2:0
Head to head
- 20.09.2026Magnitogorsk — Niznekamsk6:2
- 22.12.2025Magnitogorsk — Niznekamsk4:3 SO
- 05.12.2025Niznekamsk — Magnitogorsk2:1 OT
- 23.10.2025Niznekamsk — Magnitogorsk5:3
- 19.10.2025Magnitogorsk — Niznekamsk9:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
KHL on the same day
- Salavat UfaSochipreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.0
- LadaVladivostokpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- SKA St. PetersburgNizhny Novgorodpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →