Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK

Novopolotsk — Molodechno

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Model prediction and result

2:3Came true
Novopolotsk17%
Draw in regulation19%
Molodechno64%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Molodechno to win (77% incl. overtime), came true.

Molodechno are clear favourites: 77% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • Molodechno are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Novopolotsk — Molodechno1.6–3.0
Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)23%
Molodechno to win (incl. OT and shootout)77%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Novopolotsk
  • Novopolotsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Novopolotsk

  • 09.10Molodechno1:6
  • 06.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 04.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 29.09Gomel3:1
  • 27.09Gomel0:5

Molodechno

  • 09.10away · Novopolotsk6:1
  • 06.10Brest2:3
  • 04.10Brest1:2 OT
  • 29.09Zhlobin3:0
  • 27.09Zhlobin1:4

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026Novopolotsk — Molodechno1:6
  • 18.12.2025Novopolotsk — Molodechno4:2
  • 16.12.2025Novopolotsk — Molodechno4:2
  • 25.09.2025Molodechno — Novopolotsk4:1
  • 23.09.2025Molodechno — Novopolotsk6:3

Next matches

  • BrestNovopolotsk15 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The model's most likely outcome: 116%Model's score: 4:15.6
  • MolodechnoLokomotiv Orsha16 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The model's most likely outcome: 115%Model's score: 4:15.0

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 3:5. Model's score: 2:3.5.2
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 223%Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:3.4.7
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 220%Final score 1:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →