Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Lokomotiv Orsha — Neman Grodno
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:1Came true
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Neman Grodno to win (58% incl. overtime), came true.
Neman Grodno are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- Neman Grodno are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- Lokomotiv Orsha: 3 defeats in a row; Neman Grodno: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Lokomotiv Orsha 1 win, Neman Grodno 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Orsha — Neman Grodno | 2.2–2.5 | |
| Lokomotiv Orsha to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Neman Grodno to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lokomotiv Orsha
- Lokomotiv Orsha goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Neman Grodno2:3 OT
- 05.10away · Gomel2:5
- 03.10away · Gomel3:4
- 29.09Lida5:4 SO
- 27.09Lida4:5
- 09.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha3:2 OT
- 06.10Novopolotsk4:1
- 04.10Novopolotsk4:1
- 29.09away · Brest2:4
- 27.09away · Brest1:3
Head to head
- 09.10.2026Lokomotiv Orsha — Neman Grodno2:3 OT
- 02.03.2026Neman Grodno — Lokomotiv Orsha2:1
- 28.02.2026Neman Grodno — Lokomotiv Orsha6:0
- 19.11.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Neman Grodno1:2
- 17.11.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Neman Grodno4:2
Next matches
- MolodechnoLokomotiv Orsha16 October · Belarus Extraleague85151The model's most likely outcome: 115%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Neman GrodnoMogilev16 October · Belarus Extraleague68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 41592The most likely outcome came true: 222%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 2:3.5.2
- 33672The most likely outcome came true: 220%1:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
- 23772The most likely outcome came true: 219%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:3.4.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →