Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Baranavichy — Vitebsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:5Came true
In short
Final score 3:5: the model's most likely outcome, Vitebsk to win (59% incl. overtime), came true.
Vitebsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Vitebsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Baranavichy — Vitebsk | 2.4–2.9 | |
| Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Vitebsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Baranavichy
- Baranavichy goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Vitebsk4:2
- 05.10away · Soligorsk5:4
- 03.10away · Soligorsk2:4
- 30.09Yunost Minsk5:0
- 28.09Yunost Minsk5:2
- 09.10away · Baranavichy2:4
- 05.10away · Slavutych3:4
- 03.10away · Slavutych3:6
- 30.09away · Mogilev2:0
- 28.09away · Mogilev3:4
Head to head
- 09.10.2026Baranavichy — Vitebsk4:2
- 24.01.2026Baranavichy — Vitebsk2:3
- 22.01.2026Baranavichy — Vitebsk4:2
- 31.10.2025Vitebsk — Baranavichy2:0
- 29.10.2025Vitebsk — Baranavichy6:2
Next matches
- LidaBaranavichy15 October · Belarus Extraleague79211The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 5:25.8
- VitebskYunost Minsk15 October · Belarus Extraleague71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 42582The most likely outcome came true: 223%0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:3.4.7
- 33672The most likely outcome came true: 220%1:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
- 23772The most likely outcome came true: 219%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:3.4.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →