DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Krefeld Pinguine
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Krefeld Pinguine are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Krefeld Pinguine | 2.6–2.9 | |
| Nurnberg Ice Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Nurnberg Ice Tigers
- Nurnberg Ice Tigers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Kolner2:4
- 09.10Adler Mannheim2:5
- 04.10away · Eisbaren Berlin1:4
- 02.10Schwenninger5:0
- 27.09Straubing Tigers2:3 SO
- 11.10Augsburger Panther1:2
- 08.10away · Frankfurt Lowen5:2
- 04.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3
- 02.10ERC Ingolstadt3:1
- 27.09Schwenninger5:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Adler Mannheim | 9 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 9 | 5 | +6 | 16 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Munchen | 8 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Grizzly Wolfsburg | 8 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Krefeld Pinguine | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kolner | 8 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
DEL on the same day
- Adler MannheimFrankfurt Lowenpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Eisbaren BerlinAugsburger Pantherpreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:26.1
- Grizzly WolfsburgERC Ingolstadtpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- MunchenIserlohn Roosterspreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.5
- SchwenningerBremerhavenpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Straubing TigersKolnerpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →