DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Adler Mannheim — Frankfurt Lowen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Adler Mannheim are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Adler Mannheim are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Adler Mannheim — Frankfurt Lowen | 3.4–2.1 | |
| Adler Mannheim to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 73% | |
| Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 27% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Adler Mannheim
- Adler Mannheim goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Straubing Tigers2:1
- 09.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers5:2
- 04.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg1:4
- 01.10Iserlohn Roosters6:1
- 27.09away · ERC Ingolstadt2:3 OT
- 11.10away · ERC Ingolstadt3:2 SO
- 08.10Krefeld Pinguine2:5
- 04.10away · Bremerhaven1:2
- 02.10Eisbaren Berlin0:2
- 27.09away · Munchen4:1
Head to head
- 04.03.2026Adler Mannheim — Frankfurt Lowen4:3 OT
- 09.01.2026Frankfurt Lowen — Adler Mannheim2:6
- 14.11.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Adler Mannheim3:2
- 28.09.2025Adler Mannheim — Frankfurt Lowen2:3 OT
- 04.03.2025Adler Mannheim — Frankfurt Lowen3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Eisbaren Berlin | 8 | 6 | +19 | 20 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Adler Mannheim | 9 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 9 | 5 | +6 | 16 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kolner | 8 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Frankfurt Lowen | 8 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | ERC Ingolstadt | 8 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
DEL on the same day
- Eisbaren BerlinAugsburger Pantherpreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:26.1
- Grizzly WolfsburgERC Ingolstadtpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- MunchenIserlohn Roosterspreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Nurnberg Ice TigersKrefeld Pinguinepreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.5
- SchwenningerBremerhavenpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Straubing TigersKolnerpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →