DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Schwenninger — Bremerhaven
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bremerhaven are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Bremerhaven are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Schwenninger — Bremerhaven | 2.4–2.7 | |
| Schwenninger to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Bremerhaven to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Schwenninger
- Schwenninger goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Munchen3:4
- 09.10away · Kolner4:1
- 04.10Straubing Tigers2:4
- 02.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers0:5
- 27.09away · Krefeld Pinguine2:5
- 11.10Eisbaren Berlin0:3
- 09.10away · Augsburger Panther0:3
- 04.10Frankfurt Lowen2:1
- 02.10away · Straubing Tigers3:4
- 27.09away · Grizzly Wolfsburg2:3
Head to head
- 18.01.2026Bremerhaven — Schwenninger2:5
- 23.12.2025Schwenninger — Bremerhaven0:4
- 05.12.2025Schwenninger — Bremerhaven2:6
- 12.09.2025Bremerhaven — Schwenninger2:1
- 26.01.2025Schwenninger — Bremerhaven6:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | ERC Ingolstadt | 8 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Bremerhaven | 8 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Iserlohn Roosters | 8 | 1 | -17 | 6 |
| 14, Relegation | Schwenninger | 8 | 1 | -16 | 5 |
DEL on the same day
- Adler MannheimFrankfurt Lowenpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Eisbaren BerlinAugsburger Pantherpreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:26.1
- Grizzly WolfsburgERC Ingolstadtpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- MunchenIserlohn Roosterspreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Nurnberg Ice TigersKrefeld Pinguinepreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.5
- Straubing TigersKolnerpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →