Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Olomouc — Karlovy Vary
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Karlovy Vary are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- Karlovy Vary are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Olomouc — Karlovy Vary | 2.1–2.5 | |
| Olomouc to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Karlovy Vary to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Olomouc
- Olomouc goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Mountfield HK1:3
- 09.10away · Litvinov1:3
- 04.10Trinec0:9
- 02.10away · Liberec0:2
- 29.09Vitkovice3:4
- 11.10Kladno3:1
- 09.10away · Liberec0:5
- 04.10Plzen4:1
- 02.10away · Vitkovice3:0
- 28.09away · Sparta Prague1:0
Head to head
- 16.01.2026Olomouc — Karlovy Vary1:5
- 05.12.2025Karlovy Vary — Olomouc4:2
- 19.10.2025Olomouc — Karlovy Vary5:3
- 14.09.2025Karlovy Vary — Olomouc2:4
- 02.03.2025Karlovy Vary — Olomouc4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Pardubice | 11 | 8 | +16 | 26 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitkovice | 9 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Olomouc | 10 | 1 | -18 | 5 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →