Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Plzen — Sparta Prague
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Plzen 50%, Sparta Prague 50% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Plzen — Sparta Prague | 2.2–2.2 | |
| Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Plzen
- Plzen goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Kometa Brno2:1 OT
- 08.10Ceske Budejovice4:1
- 04.10away · Karlovy Vary1:4
- 02.10away · Pardubice2:4
- 29.09away · Mlada Boleslav4:1
- 11.10Vitkovice3:0
- 08.10Kometa Brno3:4 OT
- 04.10away · Pardubice4:6
- 01.10Ceske Budejovice4:2
- 29.09away · Mountfield HK3:4
Head to head
- 30.03.2026Plzen — Sparta Prague0:1
- 28.03.2026Sparta Prague — Plzen4:2
- 26.03.2026Plzen — Sparta Prague1:4
- 23.03.2026Sparta Prague — Plzen1:2
- 22.03.2026Sparta Prague — Plzen3:4 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mountfield HK | 10 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kladno | 10 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →