Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Trinec — Mlada Boleslav
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Trinec are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Trinec are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Trinec — Mlada Boleslav | 3.0–1.8 | |
| Trinec to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 74% | |
| Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 26% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Trinec
- Trinec goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Pardubice4:5 OT
- 09.10Mountfield HK5:2
- 04.10away · Olomouc9:0
- 02.10Litvinov3:2
- 29.09Kladno6:4
- 11.10Litvinov2:1
- 09.10away · Kladno3:4
- 04.10Liberec3:5
- 02.10away · Kometa Brno2:3 SO
- 29.09Plzen1:4
Head to head
- 18.01.2026Mlada Boleslav — Trinec4:3 SO
- 07.12.2025Trinec — Mlada Boleslav5:2
- 24.10.2025Trinec — Mlada Boleslav2:1
- 16.09.2025Mlada Boleslav — Trinec2:1
- 12.02.2025Trinec — Mlada Boleslav5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Trinec | 10 | 9 | +26 | 28 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Pardubice | 11 | 8 | +16 | 26 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kometa Brno | 9 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 2 | -13 | 9 |
| 13 | Vitkovice | 9 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →