NHL · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Ottawa Senators — Florida Panthers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ottawa Senators are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — Florida Panthers | 2.8–2.5 | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ottawa Senators
- Ottawa Senators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
- 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
- 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
- 06.10away · Boston Bruins4:1
- 12.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:5
- 11.10Minnesota Wild1:4
- 07.10away · Los Angeles Kings2:1
- 05.10away · Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT
- 02.10away · San Jose Sharks3:4 OT
Head to head
- 10.04.2026Ottawa Senators — Florida Panthers5:1
- 01.04.2026Florida Panthers — Ottawa Senators6:3
- 11.01.2026Ottawa Senators — Florida Panthers2:3
- 12.10.2025Florida Panthers — Ottawa Senators6:2
- 05.04.2025Ottawa Senators — Florida Panthers3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 7 | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 6 | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 5 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 18 | San Jose Sharks | 5 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Florida Panthers | 6 | 2 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Buffalo Sabres | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
NHL on the same day
- Buffalo SabresPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →