NHL · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Buffalo Sabres — Philadelphia Flyers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Buffalo Sabres are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Buffalo Sabres are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Buffalo Sabres — No. 19, 7 pts; Philadelphia Flyers — No. 30, 3 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Buffalo Sabres 3 wins, Philadelphia Flyers 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Buffalo Sabres — Philadelphia Flyers | 2.8–2.4 | |
| Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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- Totals incl. OT
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Form
- 14.10away · Montreal Canadiens3:4 SO
- 12.10Florida Panthers5:3
- 11.10Utah Mammoth1:4
- 09.10Dallas Stars0:4
- 07.10Minnesota Wild3:2 OT
- 14.10Seattle Kraken2:3 SO
- 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
- 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
- 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4
Head to head
- 15.01.2026Buffalo Sabres — Philadelphia Flyers5:2
- 19.12.2025Buffalo Sabres — Philadelphia Flyers5:3
- 04.12.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Buffalo Sabres5:2
- 18.04.2025Buffalo Sabres — Philadelphia Flyers5:4
- 29.03.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Buffalo Sabres7:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Ottawa SenatorsFlorida Pantherspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →